For those who think we are overreacting, that is the thing about flattening the curve - we have to act before it looks like we need to, and if we are successful it will look like we overreacted. I would rather we have the appearance of overreacting than having to do as Italy and make decisions of not treating people who are over 65 with underlying medical conditions due to lack of capacity.


Simple math. Doubling power of this virus. This is NOT a different virus than what Italy or other countries have as some people are trying to suggest. NO ONE has immunity. That means 65-70% of people will become ill from this - the majority mild BUT the ones who are not will overwhelm hospitals if we do not spread those infections out over time.


We are testing. We ask that you CALL THE OFFICE FIRST. We ask that you remain in your car and pull up to the ramp at the front of the office. We will come out in protective gear and swab you IN YOUR CAR. This service at this time is ONLY for our established patients.

Covid-19 has an R0 of 3 which means each person is likely to pass it to 3 people:

1
3
9
27
81
243
729
2,187
6,561
19,683
59,046
177,147
531,441
1,594,323
4,782,969
14,348,907


So, in just 15 steps of transmission, the virus has gone from just one index case to 14.3 million other people. Those 15 steps might take only a few weeks. The index person may be young and healthy, but many of those 14 million people will be old and sick, and they will likely die because they got a virus that started in one person's throat.

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